HandsOn 28  Growing a Forest from a Single Tree
An old, mighty oak tree stands alone in a field. Much of the ground is covered with randomlyscattered rocks. Autumn arrives, and the tree drops acorns on the ground nearby.
One acorn lands on a rock and dies. Another acorn lands on dirt, takes root, and a new tree grows.
The next autumn, every tree (both the original tree and all its "children'') drops acorns on the ground next to it. Again, an acorn that lands on a rock dies. An acorn that lands on an existing tree dies also. But an acorn that lands on dirt takes root and grows.
As the years go by, generation after generation of oaks spread away from the original mighty oak. If the area is rocky, with only small patches of exposed dirt, the trees probably won't spread very far. That's because the spreading cluster of oaks has to stop when it is surrounded on all sides by rocks. But if the area is not rocky, has lots of exposed dirt, the cluster of trees spreads and spreads. It does not stop until it reaches the edge of the field.
We start by growing a "forest'' by hand. Then we will go on to grow the forest using a computer simulation.
For this exercise, you might want to work with a partner. Each pair will need:

Now carry out the following steps:
Now imagine that this tree drops acorns on the neighboring squares,
up, down, right, and left. For each acorn, we must ask: does it grow into
a new tree? Or is that square occupied by a big rock where no trees can
grow?
Let's assume that for each neighboring square there is a 50% chance
that a tree grows, and a 50% chance that the square contains a big rock.
That is, the "tree probability'' is 50%, and the "rock probability''
is 50%.
2. Shake up four pennies between your cupped hands and, without looking
at them, put one penny in each of the four neighboring squares right,
left, up, and down (see Figure ).
3. Look at the four pennies. A head means a new tree; a tail means a rock.
Replace each head with a red checker (tree), each tail with a black checker
(rock).
4. Shake some pennies up again and place one in every empty square next
to a red checker (tree) using the squares up, down, right, and left of
the tree.
5. Again replace each head with a red checker (tree), and each tail with
a black checker (rock).
6. Repeat steps 4 and 5 until the forest reaches the edge or cannot grow
any further (all trees are surrounded by rocks).
On the board in front of the class, draw a table with two columns. Label the first column "Reach edge'' and the second column "Not reach edge.'' As each pair of students completes growing the forest, they report on whether or not their forest reached the edge. Enter their result in the table. Then each pair starts growing a new forest from the beginning. When each group has completed growing three forests, stop the activity and look at the table on the board. Have a discussion about the following questions:






